Baselight

NCAA Tournament Results

An Analytical Study on Team Performance and Win Probability

@kaggle.thedevastator_fivethirtyeight_ncaa_tournament_forecast_results

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About this Dataset

NCAA Tournament Results


NCAA Tournament Results

An Analytical Study on Team Performance and Win Probability

By FiveThirtyEight [source]


About this dataset

Have you ever wanted to dive into the past and explore the data behind FiveThirtyEight's incredible NCAA Tournament Forecasts? Well, now you can! This repository contains an immense selection of datasets that chronicle a decade of championship games filed in 2009-2019, giving an in-depth look at each teams' performance. The data is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License and MIT License, as well as its corresponding analysis code scripts. Now it's up to you to do what you will with this information - whether it's creating dynamic stories or mesmerizing visuals! So take a chance on this opportunity and enrich your experience with publicly available datasets today!

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How to use the dataset

This dataset contains the results of FiveThirtyEight's NCAA Tournament Forecasts. It includes the round of the tournament, who was the favorite team and who was not favored to win, their respective probabilities of winning, and whether or not the favorite won in each game. By analyzing this data, you can gain insights into past performance as well as predict future outcomes.

Research Ideas

  • Creating a predictive model that uses the FiveThirtyEight forecasting algorithm to accurately predict future NCAA tournament results.
  • Analyzing trends in the likelihood of favorites winning games at various rounds in different years and for different teams.
  • Building a comprehensive visualization of favorite/underdog win rates over time, including interactive elements like sliders and filters to explore historical data more effectively

Acknowledgements

If you use this dataset in your research, please credit the original authors.
Data Source

License

License: CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) - Public Domain Dedication
No Copyright - You can copy, modify, distribute and perform the work, even for commercial purposes, all without asking permission. See Other Information.

Columns

File: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv

Column name Description
year The year of the NCAA tournament. (Integer)
round The round of the tournament that is being predicted. (Integer)
favorite The team favored to win the game according to FiveThirtyEight's forecast. (String)
underdog The team not favored to win according to FiveThirtyEight's forecast. (String)
favorite_probability The probability that is assigned by FiveThirtyEight's forecast model that they will win. (Float)
favorite_win_flag A boolean indicating whether or not they won their game against their underdog based on FiveThirtyEight's prediction. (Boolean)

Acknowledgements

If you use this dataset in your research, please credit the original authors.
If you use this dataset in your research, please credit FiveThirtyEight.

Tables

Historical 538 Ncaa Tournament Model Results

@kaggle.thedevastator_fivethirtyeight_ncaa_tournament_forecast_results.historical_538_ncaa_tournament_model_results
  • 10.92 KB
  • 253 rows
  • 7 columns
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CREATE TABLE historical_538_ncaa_tournament_model_results (
  "index" BIGINT,
  "year" BIGINT,
  "round" BIGINT,
  "favorite" VARCHAR,
  "underdog" VARCHAR,
  "favorite_probability" DOUBLE,
  "favorite_win_flag" BIGINT
);

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