Club Soccer: SPI Ratings and Forecasts

Club Soccer Dataset - SPI Ratings, Forecasts, Technical Information

About this dataset

In today's world, there is an ever-growing need for accurate and reliable soccer predictions. With so many games being played each day, it can be hard to keep track of all the action. That's where FiveThirtyEight's Club SoccerPredictions come in.

Using our proprietary Soccer Power Index (SPI), we are able to provide the most accurate and reliable predictions for future matches. SPI is a statistical model that takes into account dozens of factors, including team strength, playing surface, location, weather conditions, and more. All of these factors are used to generate a detailed match forecast that gives each team a chance of winning, losing, or drawing.

How to use the dataset

This dataset contains match-by-match SPI ratings and forecasts back to 2016. It can be used to predict the outcomes of future matches and to compare the relative strength of different teams.

To use this dataset, you will need to understand the following columns:

season: The year of the season.

date: The date of the match.

league: The league of the match.

team1: The first team of the match.

team2: The second team of the match.

spi1: The SPI rating of the first team.

spi2: The SPI rating of the second team.

prob1: The probability that the first team will win.

prob2 :The probability that the second team will win.

probtie :The probability that the match will end in a tie

Research Ideas

Use the SPI ratings to predict match outcomes

Use the SPI ratings to compare teams across leagues

Use the SPI ratings and forecasts to create a power ranking of teams

Acknowledgements

License

> License: CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) - Public Domain Dedication
> No Copyright - You can copy, modify, distribute and perform the work, even for commercial purposes, all without asking permission. See Other Information.

Columns

File: spi_matches.csv

Column name	Description
season	The year of the season. (Integer)
date	The date of the match. (Date)
league	The league of the match. (String)
team1	The first team of the match. (String)
team2	The second team of the match. (String)
spi1	The SPI rating of the first team.(Float)
spi2	The SPI rating of the second team.(Float)
prob1	The probability that the first team will win.(Float)
prob2	The probability that the second team will win.(Float)
probtie	The probability that the match will end in a tie.(Float)
proj_score1	The projected score of the first team.(Float)
proj_score2	The projected score of the second team.(Float)
importance1	The importance of the match to the first team.(Float)
importance2	The importance of the match to the second team.(Float)
xg1	The expected goals of the first team.(Float)
xg2	The expected goals of the second team.(Float)
nsxg1	The non-shot expected goals of the first team.(Float)
nsxg2	The non-shot expected goals of the second team.(Float)

File: spi_global_rankings_intl.csv

Column name	Description
rank	The rank of the team. (Integer)
name	The name of the team. (String)
confed	The confederation to which the team belongs. (String)
off	The team's offensive rating. (Float)
def	The team's defensive rating. (Float)
spi	The team's SPI rating. (Float)

File: spi_global_rankings.csv

Column name	Description
rank	The rank of the team. (Integer)
name	The name of the team. (String)
league	The league of the match. (String)
off	The team's offensive rating. (Float)
def	The team's defensive rating. (Float)
spi	The team's SPI rating. (Float)

File: spi_matches_latest.csv

Column name	Description
season	The year of the season. (Integer)
date	The date of the match. (Date)
league	The league of the match. (String)
team1	The first team of the match. (String)
team2	The second team of the match. (String)
spi1	The SPI rating of the first team.(Float)
spi2	The SPI rating of the second team.(Float)
prob1	The probability that the first team will win.(Float)
prob2	The probability that the second team will win.(Float)
probtie	The probability that the match will end in a tie.(Float)
proj_score1	The projected score of the first team.(Float)
proj_score2	The projected score of the second team.(Float)
importance1	The importance of the match to the first team.(Float)
importance2	The importance of the match to the second team.(Float)
xg1	The expected goals of the first team.(Float)
xg2	The expected goals of the second team.(Float)
nsxg1	The non-shot expected goals of the first team.(Float)
nsxg2	The non-shot expected goals of the second team.(Float)

Tables

Spi Global Rankings

@kaggle.thedevastator_club_soccer_predictions_spi_ratings_and_forecast.spi_global_rankings

32.12 KB
643 rows
8 columns


CREATE TABLE spi_global_rankings (
  "index" BIGINT,
  "rank" BIGINT,
  "prev_rank" BIGINT,
  "name" VARCHAR,
  "league" VARCHAR,
  "off" DOUBLE,
  "def" DOUBLE,
  "spi" DOUBLE
);

Spi Global Rankings Intl

@kaggle.thedevastator_club_soccer_predictions_spi_ratings_and_forecast.spi_global_rankings_intl

12.76 KB
220 rows
7 columns


CREATE TABLE spi_global_rankings_intl (
  "index" BIGINT,
  "rank" BIGINT,
  "name" VARCHAR,
  "confed" VARCHAR,
  "off" DOUBLE,
  "def" DOUBLE,
  "spi" DOUBLE
);

Spi Matches

@kaggle.thedevastator_club_soccer_predictions_spi_ratings_and_forecast.spi_matches

1.99 MB
65824 rows
24 columns


CREATE TABLE spi_matches (
  "index" BIGINT,
  "season" BIGINT,
  "date" TIMESTAMP,
  "league_id" BIGINT,
  "league" VARCHAR,
  "team1" VARCHAR,
  "team2" VARCHAR,
  "spi1" DOUBLE,
  "spi2" DOUBLE,
  "prob1" DOUBLE,
  "prob2" DOUBLE,
  "probtie" DOUBLE,
  "proj_score1" DOUBLE,
  "proj_score2" DOUBLE,
  "importance1" DOUBLE,
  "importance2" DOUBLE,
  "score1" DOUBLE,
  "score2" DOUBLE,
  "xg1" DOUBLE,
  "xg2" DOUBLE,
  "nsxg1" DOUBLE,
  "nsxg2" DOUBLE,
  "adj_score1" DOUBLE,
  "adj_score2" DOUBLE
);

Spi Matches Latest

@kaggle.thedevastator_club_soccer_predictions_spi_ratings_and_forecast.spi_matches_latest

429.44 KB
11461 rows
24 columns


CREATE TABLE spi_matches_latest (
  "index" BIGINT,
  "season" BIGINT,
  "date" TIMESTAMP,
  "league_id" BIGINT,
  "league" VARCHAR,
  "team1" VARCHAR,
  "team2" VARCHAR,
  "spi1" DOUBLE,
  "spi2" DOUBLE,
  "prob1" DOUBLE,
  "prob2" DOUBLE,
  "probtie" DOUBLE,
  "proj_score1" DOUBLE,
  "proj_score2" DOUBLE,
  "importance1" DOUBLE,
  "importance2" DOUBLE,
  "score1" DOUBLE,
  "score2" DOUBLE,
  "xg1" DOUBLE,
  "xg2" DOUBLE,
  "nsxg1" DOUBLE,
  "nsxg2" DOUBLE,
  "adj_score1" DOUBLE,
  "adj_score2" DOUBLE
);